Impact of healthcare strain on access to mechanical ventilation and mortality of hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Healthcare saturation has been a prominent worry during the COVID-19 pandemic. Increase of hospital beds with mechanical ventilators has been central in Mexico's approach, but it is not known whether this actually improves access to care and the resulting quality of it. This study aimed to determine the impact of healthcare strain and other pre-specified variables on dying from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) without receiving invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using open data from Mexico City between 8 May 2020 and 5 January 2021. We performed Cox proportional hazards models to identify the strength of the association between proposed variables and the outcomes. RESULTS: Of 33 797 hospitalized patients with suspected or confirmed COVID-19, 19 820 (58.6%) did not require IMV and survived, 5414 (16.1%) required IMV and were intubated and 8563 (25.3%) required IMV but died without receiving it. A greater occupation of IMV-capable beds increased the hazard of death without receiving IMV (hazard ratio [HR] 1.56, comparing 90% with 50% occupation). Private healthcare was the most protective factor for death without IMV (HR 0.14). CONCLUSIONS: Higher hospital bed saturation increased the hazard of dying without being intubated and worsened the outcomes among mechanically ventilated patients. Older age also increased the hazard of the outcomes, while private healthcare dramatically decreased them.

Home or hospital? An observational study of what affects the place of death of people with COVID-19 in Mexico.

BACKGROUND: Out-of-hospital deaths increased during peak coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic periods. However, aside from COVID-19 severity, which variables are related to being hospitalized have not been properly studied. We examine the association of several variables with dying at home from COVID-19 as opposed to in a hospital. METHODS: We used COVID-19 open data from Mexico City from March 2020 until February 2021. A causal model was prespecified to identify variables of interest. Adjusted logistic regressions were performed to calculate ORs for associations between variables of interest and dying out of hospital due to COVID-19. RESULTS: Among 61 112 people who died due to COVID-19, 8080 died out of hospital. Older age (OR 3.49, age 90 vs 60 y), male sex (OR 1.18) and higher bed occupancy (OR 2.68, 90% vs 50% occupancy) were positively associated with dying outside of hospital. CONCLUSION: Older age could confer different patient wishes or less ability to look for healthcare. Higher bed occupancy may have prevented hospital admission from people who required in-hospital care.

Pyridostigmine reduces mortality of patients with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection: A phase 2/3 randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory failure in severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with a severe inflammatory response. Acetylcholine (ACh) reduces systemic inflammation in experimental bacterial and viral infections. Pyridostigmine increases the half-life of endogenous ACh, potentially reducing systemic inflammation. We aimed to determine if pyridostigmine decreases a composite outcome of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and death in adult patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: We performed a double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3 randomized controlled trial of oral pyridostigmine (60 mg/day) or placebo as add-on therapy in adult patients admitted due to confirmed severe COVID-19 not requiring IMV at enrollment. The primary outcome was a composite of IMV or death by day 28. Secondary outcomes included reduction of inflammatory markers and circulating cytokines, and 90-day mortality. Adverse events (AEs) related to study treatment were documented and described. RESULTS: We recruited 188 participants (94 per group); 112 (59.6%) were men; the median (IQR) age was 52 (44-64) years. The study was terminated early due to a significant reduction in the primary outcome in the treatment arm and increased difficulty with recruitment. The primary outcome occurred in 22 (23.4%) participants in the placebo group vs. 11 (11.7%) in the pyridostigmine group (hazard ratio, 0.47, 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.9; P = 0.03). This effect was driven by a reduction in mortality (19 vs. 8 deaths, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our data indicate that adding pyridostigmine to standard care reduces mortality among patients hospitalized for severe COVID-19.

Incidence of Guillain-Barré syndrome following SARS-CoV-2 immunization: Analysis of a nationwide registry of recipients of 81 million doses of seven vaccines.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Information on Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) as an adverse event following immunization (AEFI) against SARS-CoV-2 remains scarce. We aimed to report GBS incidence as an AEFI among adult (≥18 years) recipients of 81,842,426 doses of seven anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccines between December 24, 2020, and October 29, 2021, in Mexico. METHODS: Cases were retrospectively collected through passive epidemiological surveillance. The overall observed incidence was calculated according to the total number of administered doses. Vaccines were analyzed individually and by vector as mRNA-based (mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2), adenovirus-vectored (ChAdOx1 nCov-19, rAd26-rAd5, Ad5-nCoV, and Ad26.COV2-S), and inactivated whole-virion-vectored (CoronaVac) vaccines. RESULTS: We identified 97 patients (52 males [53.6%]; median [interquartile range] age 44 [33-60] years), for an overall observed incidence of 1.19/1,000,000 doses (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.97-1.45), with incidence higher among Ad26.COV2-S (3.86/1,000,000 doses, 95% CI 1.50-9.93) and BNT162b2 recipients (1.92/1,00,000 doses, 95% CI 1.36-2.71). The interval (interquartile range) from vaccination to GBS symptom onset was 10 (3-17) days. Preceding diarrhea was reported in 21 patients (21.6%) and mild COVID-19 in four more (4.1%). Only 18 patients were tested for Campylobacter jejuni (positive in 16 [88.9%]). Electrophysiological examinations were performed in 76 patients (78.4%; axonal in 46 [60.5%] and demyelinating in 25 [32.8%]); variants were similar across the platforms. On admission, 91.8% had a GBS disability score ≥3. Seventy-five patients (77.3%) received intravenous immunoglobulin, received seven plasma exchange (7.2%), and 15 (15.5%) were treated conservatively. Ten patients (10.3%) died, and 79.1% of survivors were unable to walk independently. CONCLUSIONS: Guillain-Barré syndrome was an extremely infrequent AEFI against SARS-CoV-2. The protection provided by these vaccines outweighs the risk of developing GBS.

Psychological and Psychiatric Events Following Immunization with Five Different Vaccines against SARS-CoV-2.

BACKGROUND: Despite the high number of vaccines administered against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) worldwide, the information on the psychological/psychiatric adverse events following immunization (AEFI) with these newly developed vaccines remains scarce. OBJECTIVE: To describe the frequency of psychological/psychiatric symptoms among recipients of five different anti-SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and to explore the factors associated with their development reported in the nationwide Mexican registry of AEFI against SARS-CoV-2. METHODS: Descriptive study of all the psychological/psychiatric symptoms, including anxiety, panic attacks, insomnia, and agitation reported to the Mexican Epidemiological Surveillance System from 21 December 2020 to 27 April 2021, among adult (≥18 years old) recipients of 7,812,845 doses of BNT162b2, ChAdOx1 nCov-19, rAd26-rAd5, Ad5-nCoV, or CoronaVac. The factors associated with their development are determined by multivariate regression analysis. RESULTS: There were 19,163 AEFI reports during the study period; amongst them, 191 (1%) patients had psychological/psychiatric symptoms (median age of 41 years, interquartile range of 32-54; 149 [78%] women) for an observed incidence of 2.44 cases per 100,000 administered doses (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.12-2.82), 72.8% of psychiatric AEFIs were reported among recipients of BNT162b2. The median time from vaccination to symptom onset was 35 min (interquartile range: 10-720). Overall, the most common psychological/psychiatric symptoms were anxiety in 129 (67.5%) patients, panic attacks in 30 (15.7%), insomnia in 25 (13%), and agitation in 11 (5.7%). After adjusting for the confounding factors, the odds for developing psychological/psychiatric symptoms were higher for those concurrently reporting syncope (odds ratio [OR]: 4.73, 95% CI: 1.68-13.33); palpitations (OR: 2.47, 95% CI: 1.65-3.70), and dizziness (OR: 1.59, 95% CI: 1.10-2.28). CONCLUSION: In our population, psychological/psychiatric symptoms were extremely infrequent AEFIs. No severe psychiatric AEFIs were reported. Immunization stress-related responses might explain most of the detected cases.

Seizures following COVID-19 vaccination in Mexico: A nationwide observational study.

The COVID-19 pandemic led to the development and emergency approval of an array of effective vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. Given the relatively small number of patients included in vaccine trials, postapproval epidemiological surveillance is crucial to detect infrequent vaccine-related adverse events. We conducted a nationwide retrospective descriptive study evaluating the incidence of seizures among recipients of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in Mexico from December 24, 2020 (date of administration of first doses nationwide) to October 29, 2021. Among 81 916 351 doses of any vaccine that were administered, we documented seizures in 53 patients, of which 31 (60%) were new onset seizures. The incidence rate of seizures per million doses was highest for mRNA-1273 (Moderna) with 2.73 per million, followed by BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) with 1.02 per million, and Ad5-nCoV (CanSino) with 1.01 per million. Thus, we found that seizures following SARS-CoV-2 vaccination are exceedingly rare events.

Homebrew reagents for low-cost RT-LAMP

Reverse transcription–loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) has gained popularity for the detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The high specificity, sensitivity, simple protocols, and potential to deliver results without the use of expensive equipment has made it an attractive alternative to RT-PCR. However, the high cost per reaction, the centralized manufacturing of required reagents, and their distribution under cold chain shipping limit RT-LAMP’s applicability in low-income settings. The preparation of assays using homebrew enzymes and buffers has emerged worldwide as a response to these limitations and potential shortages. Here, we describe the production of Moloney murine leukemia virus reverse transcriptase and BstLF DNA polymerase for the local implementation of RT-LAMP reactions at low cost. These reagents compared favorably to commercial kits, and optimum concentrations were defined in order to reduce time to threshold, increase ON/OFF range, and minimize enzyme quantities per reaction. As a validation, we tested the performance of these reagents in the detection of SARS-CoV-2 from RNA extracted from clinical nasopharyngeal samples, obtaining high agreement between RT-LAMP and RT-PCR clinical results. The in-house preparation of these reactions results in an order of magnitude reduction in costs;thus, we provide protocols and DNA to enable the replication of these tests at other locations. These results contribute to the global effort of developing open and low-cost diagnostics that enable technological autonomy and distributed capacities in viral surveillance.

Impact of RT-PCR Test False-Negative Results for SARS-CoV-2 Surveillance in Mexico.

Background: Underestimation of the number of cases during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has been a constant concern worldwide. Detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA using realtime reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) is the most common method to confirm a case. However, these tests have suboptimal sensitivity. Objective: The objective of the study was to estimate the number of COVID-19 confirmed cases, intensive care unit (ICU) admissions and deaths in Mexico, accounting for the probabilities of false-negative tests. Methods: We used publicly available, national databases of all SARS-CoV-2 tests performed at public laboratories in Mexico between February 27 and October 31, 2020. We used the estimated probabilities of false-negative tests based on the day of clinical sample collection after symptom initiation calculated previously. With the resulting model, we estimated the corrected daily number of cases, ICU admissions, and deaths. Results: Among 2,024,822 people tested in Mexico between February 27 and October 31 with an available result, we estimated 1,248,583 (95% confidence interval 1,094,850-1,572,818) cases, compared to 902,343 cases reported with positive tests. ICU admissions and deaths were 15% and 8% higher than reported, respectively. Conclusion: Accounting for SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR-based diagnostic tests' precision is a simple way to improve estimations for the true number of COVID-19 cases among tested persons.

Neurologic adverse events among 704,003 first-dose recipients of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in Mexico: A nationwide descriptive study.

mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 are remarkably effective. Limited information exists about the incidence of adverse events following immunization (AEFI) with their use. We conducted a prospective observational study including data from 704,003 first-doses recipients; 6536 AEFI were reported, of whom 65.1% had at least one neurologic AEFI (non-serious 99.6%). Thirty-three serious events were reported; 17 (51.5%) were neurologic (observed frequency, 2.4/100,000 doses). At the time of writing this report, 16/17 cases had been discharged without deaths. Our data suggest that the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine is safe; its individual and societal benefits outweigh the low percentage of serious neurologic AEFI. This information should help to dissipate hesitancy towards this new vaccine platform.

Accessible LAMP-Enabled Rapid Test (ALERT) for Detecting SARS-CoV-2.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has highlighted bottlenecks in large-scale, frequent testing of populations for infections. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based diagnostic tests are expensive, reliant on centralized labs, can take days to deliver results, and are prone to backlogs and supply shortages. Antigen tests that bind and detect the surface proteins of a virus are rapid and scalable but suffer from high false negative rates. To address this problem, an inexpensive, simple, and robust 60-minute do-it-yourself (DIY) workflow to detect viral RNA from nasal swabs or saliva with high sensitivity (0.1 to 2 viral particles/µL) and specificity (>97% true negative rate) utilizing reverse transcription loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) was developed. ALERT (Accessible LAMP-Enabled Rapid Test) incorporates the following features: (1) increased shelf-life and ambient temperature storage, compared to liquid reaction mixes, by using wax layers to isolate enzymes from other reagents; (2) improved specificity compared to other LAMP end-point reporting methods, by using sequence-specific QUASR (quenching of unincorporated amplification signal reporters); (3) increased sensitivity, compared to methods without purification through use of a magnetic wand to enable pipette-free concentration of sample RNA and cell debris removal; (4) quality control with a nasopharyngeal-specific mRNA target; and (5) co-detection of other respiratory viruses, such as influenza B, by multiplexing QUASR-modified RT-LAMP primer sets. The flexible nature of the ALERT workflow allows easy, at-home and point-of-care testing for individuals and higher-throughput processing for labs and hospitals. With minimal effort, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)-specific primer sets can be swapped out for other targets to repurpose ALERT to detect other viruses, microorganisms, or nucleic acid-based markers.

Common hematological values predict unfavorable outcomes in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

COVID-19 can range from asymptomatic to life-threatening. Early identification of patients who will develop severe disease is crucial. A number of scores and indexes have been developed to predict severity. However, most rely on measurements not readily available. We evaluated hematological and biochemical markers taken on admission and determined how predictive they were of development of critical illness or death. We observed that higher values of readily available tests, including neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio; derived neutrophil index; and troponin I were associated with a higher risk of death or critical care admission (P < 0.001). We show that common hematological tests can be helpful in determining early in the course of illness which patients are likely to develop severe forms, as well as allocating resources to those patients early, while avoiding overuse of limited resources in patients with reduced risk of progression to severe disease.

A parallel-group, multicenter randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3, clinical trial to test the efficacy of pyridostigmine bromide at low doses to reduce mortality or invasive mechanical ventilation in adults with severe SARS-CoV-2 infection: the Pyridostigmine In Severe COvid-19 (PISCO) trial protocol.

BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, the causative agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), may lead to severe systemic inflammatory response, pulmonary damage, and even acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). This in turn may result in respiratory failure and in death. Experimentally, acetylcholine (ACh) modulates the acute inflammatory response, a neuro-immune mechanism known as the inflammatory reflex. Recent clinical evidence suggest that electrical and chemical stimulation of the inflammatory reflex may reduce the burden of inflammation in chronic inflammatory diseases. Pyridostigmine (PDG), an ACh-esterase inhibitor (i-ACh-e), increases the half-life of endogenous ACh, therefore mimicking the inflammatory reflex. This clinical trial is aimed at evaluating if add-on of PDG leads to a decrease of invasive mechanical ventilation and death among patients with severe COVID-19. METHODS: A parallel-group, multicenter, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled, phase 2/3 clinical trial to test the efficacy of pyridostigmine bromide 60 mg/day P.O. to reduce the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and mortality in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19. DISCUSSION: This study will provide preliminary evidence of whether or not -by decreasing systemic inflammation- add-on PDG can improve clinical outcomes in patients with severe COVID-19. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04343963 (registered on April 14, 2020).